Tournament Bracket

Follow the most probable path to the final. This bracket displays the teams most likely to reach each knockout stage and their estimated win probabilities based on our Elo simulation model.

Round of 32

Germany
Paraguay
France
Sweden
South Africa
Canada
Netherlands
Morocco
Portugal
Croatia
Spain
Austria
United States
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Belgium
Senegal
Brazil
Japan
Ivory Coast
Norway
Mexico
Ecuador
England
DR Congo
Argentina
Cabo Verde
Australia
Egypt
Switzerland
Algeria
Colombia
Ghana

Round of 16

Paraguay
France
Canada
Morocco
Portugal
Spain
United States
Belgium
Brazil
Norway
Mexico
England
Argentina
Egypt
Switzerland
Colombia

Quarter-finals

France
Morocco
Spain
Belgium
Norway
England
Argentina
Switzerland

Semi-finals

France
Spain
England
Argentina

Final

Spain
Argentina